On Tuesday I linked to a poll of some 200 institutional investors who were asked about their outlook for global equity markets. The smart money seems to be evenly split between buyers, sellers, holders, and those who “are confused and doing nothing.”
It’s funny that investors who don’t react to market swings are said to be doing nothing. This is one of the enduring myths about index investing: that carefully building a diversified, all-weather portfolio for the long term makes you a naive fool because you’re not constantly “repositioning.”
Staying the course is not “doing nothing.” On the contrary, it’s doing something thoughtfully and productively rather than constantly reacting to the market. The first three quarters of 2011 have been a marvellous example of how diversifying and ignoring forecasts can work so well during times of market stress. To see this idea in action, let’s do a Q3 check-in with the Complete Couch Potato.
No, everything does not go down together
Dumping bonds was supposed to be part of the “reposition your portfolio for today’s market” strategy—actually it’s been a refrain for about three years now. And once again,